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chetron
2,817 posts
msg #67251
Ignore chetron
9/13/2008 7:29:31 AM


NICE, TRO, BUT ISN'T "SUPERIOR MASTER" A DOUBLE POSITIVE? LOL.

TheRumpledOne
6,529 posts
msg #67254
Ignore TheRumpledOne
9/13/2008 12:17:25 PM

I don't make those names up...LOL That's something BabyPips does. After X posts, you get a new rank.



TheRumpledOne
6,529 posts
msg #67260
Ignore TheRumpledOne
9/13/2008 2:41:50 PM

Individual Psychology of a Trader


http://articles.mql4.com/722


chip
67 posts
msg #67262
Ignore chip
9/13/2008 5:40:44 PM

On BabyPips, this thread developed into a fantastic teaching device allowing for great dialogue between TRO and those interested in his techniques. With that in mind, I would like to try getting the same dialogue here -- for TRO's buyzone, milk-the-cows, AAPL-juicing methods. This past week I did some AAPL juicing and had my best trading week ever.

Though I didn't trade the Buy Zone on Friday, it was textbook BuyZone for AAPL.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

Open was 150.91, so if I understand this correctly, one would go short at 150.81. Price never went above open so it should have been an easy stress-free ride all the way down to 147 or beyond.

Personally, I was too slow so waited for a bounce. At 148 I had green candle and it looked like a bounce. The gap from Thursday's 152.5x close was still there so I went long. There was $1 to make there but I didn't take it and just let it keep falling. Around 10:45, I doubled my position at 147.10 then got out at 147.8 -- breaking even after commissions.

Lots to learn there:
1) if I'd just done the buyzone I could've made > $4.
2) if I'd not been greedy on the first early entry, I could've made $1
3) if I'd not been shaken by having to double up at the proper bounce time, I could've $3 in that direction



TheRumpledOne
6,529 posts
msg #67266
Ignore TheRumpledOne
modified
9/13/2008 8:53:26 PM

"THE BUY ZONE" (BZ) or "MILKING THE COWS" (MTC).

Use a 1 minute chart for the first 15 minutes of the day.

Then switch to a 5 minute chart.

After the first hour, you can switch to a 15 or 30 minute chart. Things have settled down by then.

The idea is to take advantage of the stock's movement from OPEN to HIGH and OPEN to LOW.

ALWAYS FADE THE GAP YOUR FIRST TRADE. I usually wait for the gap to fill to consider trading the opposite direction.

LONG TRIGGER IS OPEN + $.10 TO + $.20

SHORT TRIGGER IS OPEN - $.10 TO - $.20

THOSE ARE THE ONLY 2 TRADE TRIGGERS.

It should be OBVIOUS TO THE READER, that if those are the only 2 triggers, the STOP IS BUILT IN!!

If you can NOT see that then, DO NOT TRADE THIS METHOD!!

When to take profit?

WHEN YOU SEE PRICE WEAKEN IN THE DIRECTION YOU ARE TRADING.

If price goes up a DOLLAR and it stops... EXIT! TAKE THE MONEY OFF THE TABLE. THIS IS SCALPING.

MTC is NOT swing trading or investing. That is NOT what it is designed to do.

This method always works BECAUSE... the average daily range from high to low on "cows" like AAPL and RIMM is over $1.00. The BZ is 40 cents wide. PRICE MUST LEAVE THE ZONE - IT'S THAT SIMPLE. IF YOU CAN NOT SEE THIS THEN DO NOT TRADE THIS METHOD!!

If you are worried about WHIPSAWS THEN DO NOT TRADE THIS METHOD!! It's not for you.

BZ or MTC trading is like playing a VIDEO GAME... There's no time to think. You know your entry ahead of time. All you do is wait for price to enter the "zone" and you pull the trigger. Your buy and sell short LIMIT ORDERS should be preloaded. You NEVER chase price, you let price come into the zone.

All you have to do is look at any intraday chart with the open plotted and you should be able to see HOW AND WHY THIS WORKS. IF YOU CAN NOT SEE THIS THEN DO NOT TRADE THIS METHOD!!

AAPL and RIMM are my favorite "cows". Use the FADE THE GAP STATISTICS filter to find other cows if you don't like to trade AAPL or RIMM. Stay away from GOOG and BIDU, those 2 stocks are too erratic for this method.

Chip, how's that AAPL juice taste?

Fetcher[
/* TRO MTC CHECKER */

set{ hiop, high - open }
set{ up10, count( hiop > 0.09, 100 ) }
set{ up25, count( hiop > 0.24, 100 ) }
set{ up50, count( hiop > 0.49, 100 ) }
set{ pct1, up50 / up10 }
set{winpctup, 100 * pct1 }


set{ oplo, open - low }
set{ dn10, count( oplo > 0.09, 100 ) }
set{ dn25, count( oplo > 0.24, 100 ) }
set{ dn50, count( oplo > 0.49, 100 ) }
set{ pct2, dn50 / dn10 }
set{winpctdn, 100 * pct2 }

add column hiop
add column oplo

add column up10
add column up25
add column up50
add column winpctup

add column dn10
add column dn25
add column dn50
add column winpctdn

symlist(aapl,rimm,cat)

sort column 10 descending

]




chetron
2,817 posts
msg #67273
Ignore chetron
modified
9/14/2008 7:54:44 AM

if i unerstand TRO, then the only play for AAPL, was to use the "TRO STAT SCAN - TRAVEL GUIDE" play. shorting as you did chip, covering at the avgdrop20, 147.55, 3.36, and go long for the bounce at 147.55 and sell at the avgbounce20, 149.65, 2.10, and be done for the day.

chip
67 posts
msg #67274
Ignore chip
9/14/2008 9:07:55 AM

TRO, AAPL juice was tasty all week :) -- good way to start the day.

Am I correct in understanding that this method would have had me _not_ trading AAPL on Friday?

You say:

ALWAYS FADE THE GAP YOUR FIRST TRADE


On the Friday chart, there was a huge gap down, so my first trade should have been a long at +0.10 - +0.20. Since price never went above open, no trade?

chetron
2,817 posts
msg #67275
Ignore chetron
modified
9/14/2008 11:22:29 AM

yes chip, but you don't short a gap down, as you did, for a fade. you did a cow milker instead because aapl was red, which should have been a TRO STAT SCAN - TRAVEL GUIDE play because the volitility was not there for the gap fade, hence not enough volitility for a cow milker. go for the TRO STAT SCAN - TRAVEL GUIDE swing trade on low volitility days.


chip
67 posts
msg #67277
Ignore chip
9/14/2008 2:41:50 PM

chetron, can you do that slower, in english? :)

miketranz
978 posts
msg #67280
Ignore miketranz
9/14/2008 8:30:04 PM

Avery,pull up GM on a 1 min chart.Textbook reversal off open.Where would you enter long? Or would you be long on this trade? If so,what method are you using? Thanks,Mike.....

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